Sudan estimate of the day – Marginal REVOLUTION

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…researchers have simply declared that there was a huge, hidden outbreak in the capital of Sudan. Within the absence of a great loss of life registration system, they used a molecular and serological survey and an internet one distributed on Fb, the place folks reported their signs and whether or not they’d had a check. The researchers calculated that Covid-19 killed 16,000 extra folks than the 477 deaths confirmed by mid-November in Khartoum, which has a inhabitants roughly the scale of Wisconsin’s.

Right here is the full NYT article by Ruth Maclean.  The principle theme of the piece is that Africa might not have escaped Covid by almost as a lot as we had thought.